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▸ Oracle’s bumper earnings push Wall Street benchmarks to all-time peaks▸ Investors snap up US Treasuries but dollar slips against basket of rivals▸ French stocks and government bond prices rise slightly after PM appointedWall Street rose to fresh record highs yesterday after software company Oracle announced bumper earnings driven by demand for artificial intelligence.The blue-chip S&P 500 index rose as much as 0.7 per cent by midday in New York while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index climbed 0.5 per cent, taking both indices to record peaks.Oracle's share price was 42 per cent higher after the cloud computing group's bookings punched through investor expectations in earnings announced after the market closed on Tuesday.Chris Turner, global head of markets research at ING, said the results “supported the hype in AI investment”.Wall Street stocks were also buoyed by soft inflation data, which added to traders' convictions that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next week.
The US added 911,000 fewer jobs than previously thought in the year to March, according to new official statistics that suggest the labour market in the world’s biggest economy began cooling sharply in 2024.The figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics show national employment in the 12 months to March 2025 was far below levels in its closely watched monthly reports and indicate jobs growth began to lose steam in the latter part of Joe Biden’s presidency.Yesterday’s revision is the largest on record and roughly halves the 1.8mn job growth figure the agency had previously estimated for the year.The report will be a boost to President Donald Trump, who has argued that his aggressive tariff and immigration policies were not to blame for recent signs of weakness in the labour market.“These revisions suggest that jobs momentum is being lost from an even weaker position than originally thought,” said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING.Trump’s administration also used the data — which will further raise pressure on the US Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next week — to renew its attacks on Biden.
▸ Wall Street stocks give up early gains after US jobs data revised lower▸ Dollar moves higher but US government bonds sold by investors▸ Paris stocks make modest gains as government collapse priced inWall Street stocks gave up early gains yesterday after revised data suggested that the world’s biggest economy was in a weaker position than investors had thought.After rising at the open, the blue-chip S&P 500 index was 0.1 per cent lower by early afternoon in New York, as was the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index.Revised figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the US added 911,000 fewer jobs than previously stated in the year to March.“These revisions suggest that jobs momentum is being lost from an even weaker position than originally thought,” said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING.He added that “the poor numbers seen in 2025 are probably overstating the health of the employment market”.
The US has informed countries in Europe that it is stepping back from joint efforts to combat disinformation from countries such as Russia, China and Iran, according to three European officials familiar with the matter.European countries received a notice from the state department last week that the US was terminating memoranda of understanding signed under Joe Biden’s administration, which sought to forge a unified approach to identifying and exposing malicious information spread by foreign governments seeking to sow chaos.The move comes as Donald Trump’s administration has dismantled agencies across government that sought to protect the integrity of US elections and to combat foreign malign influence at home and abroad.The memoranda were part of an initiative led by the Global Engagement Center, a state department agency that tackled disinformation spread overseas by US adversaries and terror groups.James Rubin, who served as head of the centre until December, described the decision as a “unilateral act of disarmament” in the information war with Russia and China. “Information warfare is a reality of our time and artificial intelligence is only going to multiply the risks from that,” Rubin said.
▸ US stocks climb as investors turn focus to possible Fed rate cut▸ Europe-wide Stoxx 600 index and Asian bourses gain ground▸ Greenback slides against basket of other major currenciesUS stocks rose yesterday as investor focus shifted to the possibility of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, following disappointing economic data at the end of last week.Weaker than expected non-farm payrolls data fuelled investor fears about a sustained growth slowdown in the US, sending stocks lower and bond prices higher on Friday.But equity indices regained ground yesterday, with the blue-chip S&P 500 index up 0.3 per cent by early afternoon in New York and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite adding 0.7 per cent.Following Friday's data, traders moved to fully price in a quarter-point interest rate cut by the Fed this month and some even started speculating on a bumper half-percentage point cut.“We think the August labour market data has opened the door to a ‘catch-up' 50 basis point rate cut at the September FOMC meeting,” said John Davis, US rates strategist at Standard Chartered.
Tesla’s board has proposed a new pay package for chief executive Elon Musk worth $1tn over the next decade if he is hits a series of formidable targets.Musk will receive no salary or bonus under the plan unveiled yesterday, but would collect shares in instalments unlocked by increases in Tesla’s market value, alongside milestones including a huge increase in earnings and selling millions of cars, robotaxis and artificial intelligence-powered robots.“Retaining and incentivising Elon is fundamental to Tesla . . . becoming the most valuable company in history,” chair Robyn Denholm wrote to investors, adding it would “drive peak performance from our visionary leader”.The board stressed that Musk’s incentives were aligned with investors’ interests and he will receive nothing if Tesla’s growth stalls. But the scale of the package is likely to revive a fierce debate over the earnings of the world’s richest man.
▸ Wall Street slides on fears of a sustained economic slowdown▸ Dollar retreats while Treasuries rally as investors bet on faster US rate cuts▸ Paris stocks weaker ahead of crucial French government confidence voteWall Street stocks slid yesterday after US employment data indicated that the world's biggest economy was slowing down.The closely watched figure for nonfarm payrolls showed that just 22,000 jobs were added in August, far fewer than the 75,000 that analysts had expected.The blue-chip S&P 500 index initially jumped to a record high as traders piled on bets of faster interest rate cuts.But the US benchmark soon reversed course on fears of a sustained economic slowdown and was 0.5 per cent lower on the day by early afternoon in New York.The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was down 0.2 per cent after also briefly hitting a new record.The weak data revived investors' fears of stagflation emerging in the US.
Businesses cut jobs at the quickest rate for four years this summer and reported the worst employment outlook since the pandemic, pointing to the impact of chancellor Rachel Reeves’ decision to raise payroll taxes.Companies reduced employment by an annual rate of 0.5 per cent in the three months to August, the worst figure since 2021, according to a Bank of England survey of chief financial officers published yesterday. Last month, businesses also told the central bank they expected to cut employment by 0.5 per cent in the year ahead. This is the worst reading since October 2020, when the economy was starting to recover from Covid-19 and some restrictions were still in place.Businesses have blamed tax increases in Reeves’ first Budget last October for the pullback in hiring, which has been reported in a string of other surveys.A £25bn increase in national insurance contributions, announced in the fiscal event, took effect in April along with a rise in the minimum wage.
▸ Core government bonds extend gains after soft US labour market data▸ Dollar advances, climbing against both the euro and sterling▸ Wall Street edges higher as investors lean into their bets on Fed rate cutsCore government bonds made further gains globally yesterday after the latest sign of weakness in the American labour market gave traders renewed hope of an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve later this month.Data on US private payrolls came in weaker than analysts had expected while jobless claims were higher than forecast.Yields on benchmark 10-year US Treasuries fell 3 basis points to 4.18 per cent. The two-year Treasury yield, which tends to move with interest rate expectations, fell 2bp to 3.60 per cent as investors bought the debt.The private payrolls figure was the latest in a series of soft employment data ahead of key US non-farm payrolls data today.A weak non-farm payrolls reading for July caused a stock market sell-off last month and — with markets overwhelmingly expecting an interest rate cut this month — any unexpected strength in the jobs data could lead traders to trim their bets.Substantial weakness in the jobs numbers, however, could add to concerns over economic growth.
Shares in Google parent Alphabet rose yesterday after the tech giant avoided a court order requiring it to be broken up following a ruling that it had created an illegal monopoly.Judge Amit Mehta said the threat to Google’s search engine posed by artificial intelligence chatbots was crucial to his decision to impose a less onerous set of requirements on it.The US Department of Justice had argued that Google should have to sell its Chrome browser and, if necessary, its Android operating system, after winning a landmark judgment last year that the company maintained an illegal monopoly in online search.The order falls short of the most extreme outcomes feared by investors, such as a full ban on advertising revenue share deals with the likes of Apple.Shares in Google parent Alphabet rose almost 7 per cent in New York trading, while Apple gained about 3 per cent.Dan Ives, analyst at Wedbush Securities, said Tuesday’s order was a “massive win” for the two companies.
▸ Core government bonds rally globally after disappointing US economic data▸ UK gilt yields fall back from post-1998 high amid investor buying▸ Wall Street strengthens ahead of this week’s key American job numbersBond markets rallied yesterday, recovering from a global sell-off, as disappointing data on American job openings prompted bets that the US Federal Reserve would cut rates more aggressively to support the world's biggest economy.US job openings fell to 7.18mn in July according to closely watched JOLTS data, below the 7.38mn expected by economists polled by Reuters — and down from 7.44mn for the previous month.Andy Brenner, head of international fixed income at NatAlliance Securities, said the job openings and other data showing higher lay-offs “got my attention and the market's attention”.The rally halted a bond market slide that had pushed borrowing costs in some big economies to their highest levels in years.Yields on 30-year US Treasuries fell 7 basis points to 4.90 per cent by midday in New York trading as investors bought the debt — recovering after climbing to 5 per cent for the first time since July.The moves powered a recovery in sentiment towards sovereign bonds around the world after Japan's 30-year yield earlier hit a record high and the UK's 30-year gilt yield reached a fresh post1998 high of 5.75 per cent.The 30-year gilt UK yield fell back to 5.62 per cent.
Hedge fund billionaire Ray Dalio has warned that Donald Trump’s America is drifting into 1930s-style autocratic politics — and said other investors were too scared of the president to speak up.The Bridgewater Associates founder told the Financial Times that “gaps in wealth” were driving “more extreme” policies in the US. “I think that what is happening now politically and socially is analogous to what happened around the world in the 1930-40 period,” he said.State intervention in the private sector, such as Trump’s decision to take a 10 per cent stake in chipmaker Intel, was the sort of “strong autocratic leadership that sprang out of the desire to take control of the financial and economic situation”, Dalio said.His comments to the FT mark a rare criticism of Trump by a prominent financial figure, despite mounting private alarm among some Wall Street investors at the president’s policies.“I am just describing the cause-and-effect relationships that are driving what is happening,” he said. “And, by the way, during such times most people are silent because they are afraid of retaliation if they criticise.”
The pound fell sharply yesterday as long-term borrowing costs in the UK reached their highest level since 1998, with concerns over the country’s public finances combining with a global move higher in bond yields.Sterling slumped as much as 1.5 per cent against the dollar to $1.334 before edging up to $1.338, putting it on track for its biggest one-day drop since April, a day after Sir Keir Starmer reshuffled his economic team.Adding to pressure on chancellor Rachel Reeves ahead of her Budget, the yield on the 30-year gilt rose 0.08 percentage points to 5.72 per cent at one point. Bond yields rise as prices fall. UK borrowing costs are the highest in the G7, driven up in recent years by persistent inflation and rising public debt.The higher yields — if sustained — will further erode the chancellor’s headroom against her key fiscal rule.Lord Ken Clarke, a former Conservative chancellor, claimed that Britain was “much nearer to the risk of a financial crisis than the government is remotely acknowledging” and claimed it was not impossible it would have to seek a bailout from the IMF.
▸ Global stocks fall as government bond sell-off spills into equities trading▸ World’s biggest listed company Nvidia extends last week’s declines▸ Gold hits record with investors looking for safe alternatives to sovereign debtGlobal stocks fell yesterday as a sell-off in government bonds spilled into the equity market, extending the recent wobble for tech shares on Wall Street.The US blue-chip S&P 500 index was down 1.4 per cent by midday in New York while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.6 per cent as major equities indices in Europe also declined.The falls came amid pressure on US Treasuries and other government debt, partly due to investor worries over rising debt piles in many major economies.“The risk-off sentiment today is broader market unease stemming from the bond market,” said Marija Veitmane, head of equity research at State Street Markets.Yesterday's moves on Wall Street extended declines from Friday's session when the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.2 per cent and the S&P 500 fell 0.6 per cent.
JPMorgan Chase has hired a record number of senior commercial and investment bankers in the past year as part of an assault on markets it is targeting for growth.The Wall Street bank has poached about 100 managing directors from competitors including Goldman Sachs and Citigroup since early last year, people familiar with the details told the Financial Times.The recruitment campaign has significantly exceeded hiring in previous years, the people added, noting that JPMorgan has brought more managing directors into its global banking division over the past 12 months than it did in the previous decade.“We have stealthily hired from across the street and we are continuing to hire,” one of the people said.The spree was launched following an internal review when JPMorgan combined its commercial, investment and corporate banking units in early 2024, according to one of the people. JPMorgan declined to comment. The bank wants to boost its market share in investment banking subsectors including healthcare, technology and infrastructure. It is also looking to expand in Europe and Asia and build out its middle market banking business.
Shares in Britain’s biggest banks tumbled yesterday amid mounting fears that the chancellor might raise taxes on the sector in the autumn Budget to bolster the strained public finances.NatWest, Lloyds Banking Group and Barclays experienced some of their worst sell-offs in months as the Treasury faced calls to introduce a new levy on bank profits.NatWest fell as much as 5.9 per cent before closing down 4.9 per cent, the worst performer on the FTSE 100.NatWest closed down 4.9 per cent, the worst performer on the FTSE 100, while Lloyds fell 3.4 per centLloyds, which is often seen as a bellwether for the UK economy, fell 5 per cent before paring back its losses to 3.4 per cent. Barclays stock ended the day 2.2 per cent lower.The banks dragged the index to its fourth straight days of losses for the first time since US President Donald Trump announced sweeping tariffs in April.The falls came as the Financial Times reported that banks were braced for ministers to introduce a surcharge on profits or even a new bank levy to help fill a fiscal hole estimated by economists to be at least £20bn.
▸ Wall Street retreats after inflation data underscores fears over interest rates▸ US government borrowing costs rise as investors offload benchmark Treasuries▸ Paris stocks extend declines in week of political turmoil in FranceWall Street stocks dropped yesterday after inflation data underscored investors' nervousness about the trajectory of interest rate cuts in the world's biggest economy.The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite index had fallen 1.2 per cent by early afternoon in New York. The blue-chip S&P 500 index was down 0.8 per cent.The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index — the central bank's preferred measure of inflation — rose 2.6 per cent in July. That was in line with analysts' expectations but above the US Federal Reserve's 2 per cent target.“We expect tariff-related price pressures to exert further upward pressure on core inflation in the coming months,” said Pooja Sriram, vicepresident for US economics at Barclays.Persistently high inflation would be a hurdle to the central bank cutting its benchmark interest rate.
Nigel Farage has promised the mass deportation of irregular migrants and to take the UK out of the European Convention on Human Rights.The Reform UK leader said his party would also disapply the 1951 UN Refugee Convention for a five-year period, along with “any other barriers” that would prevent the deportation of irregular migrants to their home countries or a safe third country.Speaking in Oxfordshire yesterday, Farage said urgent action was needed to tackle public concerns about irregular migration, which has risen up the political agenda amid protests over the use of hotels to house asylum seekers.“We are not very far away from major civil disorder,” he said. “We have to leave the ECHR, no ifs, no buts . . . We have to repeal the Human Rights Act.”The ECHR and the Human Rights Act, which require the courts to take into account rulings by the European Court of Human Rights, have been cited to block the deportation of asylum seekers.
▸ Wall Street reacts in muted fashion after Trump threat to fire Fed’s Cook▸ Investors sell long-dated Treasuries but buy shorter-term US debt▸ European stocks fall on prospect of renewed political turmoil in FranceUS stock markets were muted yesterday despite President Donald Trump's renewed attacks on the country's central bank.Trump said on Monday evening that he would fire US Federal Reserve governor Lisa Cook, “effective immediately”. Cook has said she will remain in her post and challenge any attempt to remove her.Despite warnings that Trump's move could undermine the ability of the world's most important central bank to control inflation, equity markets were little changed.The blue-chip S&P 500 index was flat by early afternoon in New York while the Nasdaq Composite was 0.2 per cent higher.“The muted initial reaction to this escalation may reflect Trump's prior comments foreshadowing the move, as well as limited conviction on whether Trump has the legal grounds to follow through on the threat,” said Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, global head of equities at UBS Global Wealth Management.
Private equity firms are struggling to raise money despite offering widespread enticements to attract new investor cash, underscoring the depth of the contraction that is denting the industry’s profitability.They raised just $592bn in the 12 months to June, their lowest tally for seven years, according to data from Preqin. The decline came even though firms offered management fee cuts, “early-bird discounts” for investors who commit quickly to new funds and other incentives.PE firms “are offering a smorgasbord of discounts”, said Marco Masotti, global head of private equity fundraising at law firm Paul Weiss, who added in a report by the firm that they were “facing mounting fee pressure and agreeing to a cascade of discounts”.The industry’s fundraising has shrunk by nearly a third from its record levels in 2021. Higher interest rates and a slowdown in dealmaking have left firms unable to sell trillions of dollars in ageing investments, causing growing frustration among investors, many of whom are refusing to back funds.